Just ten days ago, Eric Swalwell seemed poised to become California's Democratic frontrunner for governor. But all that glitz faded fast when sensational allegations of sexual harassment and assault surfaced, forcing him to not only abandon his campaign but also to step down from Congress entirely. Now, he's under criminal investigation, leaving a wide-open field in his wake.
Swalwell's path to the top was never crystal clear. Known mostly for his vocal criticism of former President Donald Trump, he somehow resonated with voters who were less than enthused with billionaire Tom Steyer's big-spending, Bernie Sanders-style approach. It was as if the Golden State was witnessing a modern-day political soap opera.
With Swalwell out, the Democratic scene was wide open, and it seems Xavier Becerra is the one filling that void. Formerly a Congressmember, state Attorney General, and Biden administration official, Becerra's steady demeanor appears to be winning over those who long for a respite from high-profile political theatrics.
“I continue to believe there are too many Democrats in the field,” said Rusty Hicks, Democratic state chair.
The recent Democratic Party tracking poll revealed that, while Republicans Steve Hilton and Chad Bianco are maintaining a lead with 16% and 14%, respectively, Becerra's leap from 4% to 13% marks a significant shift among Democratic hopefuls. It seems many of Swalwell’s supporters are gravitating towards Becerra instead of leaning towards Steyer or Katie Porter.
In a year reminiscent of George Deukmejian's 1982 win over Jerry Brown, California's gubernatorial race has its share of surprises. Back then, the state swung from Brown's national ambitions to Deukmejian's law-and-order platform. Similarly, Gavin Newsom’s tenure has been more about national spotlight than California governance, prompting voters to reconsider their options.
Meanwhile, the Democratic stage continues to shift. Former Controller Betty Yee has exited the race with a tearful goodbye, as former LA Mayor Antonio Villaraigosa and state schools Superintendent Tony Thurmond barely hang on. San Jose Mayor Matt Mahan is making waves with a Silicon Valley-backed campaign, rising to 5%.
As mail voting begins in just two weeks, the possibility of Republicans clinching a 1-2 finish is still on the table. In a state as colorful and unpredictable as California, the outcome remains anyone's guess. One thing's for sure – this race is a nail-biter, and all eyes are on Xavier Becerra’s next move.